York Outer
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in York Outer? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning York Outer.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
23,161 votes (45.3%)
Luke ChartersLabourElected
23,161 votes · 45.3%
Julian SturdyConservative
13,770 votes · 26.9%
John Crispin-BaileyReform UK
5,912 votes · 11.6%
Andrew HollyerLiberal Democrats
5,496 votes · 10.8%
Michael KearneyGreen
2,212 votes · 4.3%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 45.3% | 35% |
| Conservative | 26.9% | 23% |
| Reform UK | 11.6% | 17% |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.8% | 11% |
| Green | 4.3% | 10% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.1% | 1% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.