Warwick and Leamington
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Warwick and Leamington? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Warwick and Leamington.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
23,975 votes (48.7%)
Matt WesternLabourElected
23,975 votes · 48.7%
James UffindellConservative
11,563 votes · 23.5%
Nigel ClarkeReform UK
5,154 votes · 10.5%
Hema YellaPragadaGreen
4,471 votes · 9.1%
Louis AdamLiberal Democrats
3,881 votes · 7.9%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Conservative
- Green
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 48.7% | 32% |
| Conservative | 23.5% | 21% |
| Green | 9.1% | 20% |
| Reform UK | 10.5% | 15% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7.9% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 0.3% | 1% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 4th
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.