Thurrock
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Thurrock? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Thurrock, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
16,050 votes (42.7%)
Jen CraftLabourElected
16,050 votes · 42.7%
Sophie Preston-HallReform UK
9,576 votes · 25.5%
Jackie Doyle-PriceConservative
8,009 votes · 21.3%
Eugene McCarthyGreen
1,632 votes · 4.4%
Michael BukolaLiberal Democrats
1,157 votes · 3.1%
Yousaff KhanWorkers Party of Britain
691 votes · 1.8%
Raj NimalIndependent
443 votes · 1.2%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Conservative
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Liberal Democrats
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 25.5% | 34% |
| Labour | 42.7% | 29% |
| Conservative | 21.3% | 17% |
| Green | 4.4% | 9% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.1% | 4% |
| Others | 3% | 2% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.