Swindon South

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.

Who can beat Reform in Swindon South? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Swindon South.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

21,676 votes (48.4%)

MRP prediction

Labour
Conservative
Reform UK
Green
Liberal Democrats
Restore Britain
Others

Predicted vote share by party
Party	2024 general election	26 Sep 2026
Labour	48.4%	36%
Conservative	26.9%	23%
Reform UK	13.8%	22%
Green	5.7%	10%
Liberal Democrats	4.1%	5%
Restore Britain	0%	3%
Others	1.1%	1%

MRP date

Labour

36% (30–44%)

Conservative

23% (19–26%)

Reform UK

22% (16–27%)

Green

10% (6–16%)

Liberal Democrats

5% (2–9%)

Restore Britain

3% (1–5%)

Others

1% (0–3%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Labour

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.