Stockton West
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Stockton West? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Stockton West.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
20,372 votes (41.9%)
Matt VickersConservativeElected
20,372 votes · 41.9%
Joe DanceyLabour
18,233 votes · 37.5%
Stephen MatthewsReform UK
6,833 votes · 14%
Anna-Maria TomsGreen
1,477 votes · 3%
Nigel BoddyLiberal Democrats
1,203 votes · 2.5%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 41.9% | 40% |
| Labour | 37.5% | 23% |
| Reform UK | 14% | 19% |
| Green | 3% | 7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2.5% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 1% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.