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St Helens North

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform either won with over 50% of the vote or came second and the winner (a non-Reform party) got over 50% of the vote outright - a landslide so this seat isn't really in play for a tactical vote to make a difference.

Who can beat Reform in St Helens North? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in St Helens North, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

21,284 votes (52.6%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Green
  • Conservative
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Labour52.6%40%
Reform UK22.5%29%
Green8.6%11%
Conservative11.1%10%
Liberal Democrats4.4%5%
Restore Britain0%3%
Others0.7%1%
Labour
40% (34–48%)
Reform UK
29% (22–36%)
Green
11% (6–17%)
Conservative
10% (8–13%)
Liberal Democrats
5% (2–8%)
Restore Britain
3% (1–6%)
Others
1% (0–3%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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