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South West Norfolk

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

High impact High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.

Who can beat Reform in South West Norfolk? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the latest YouGov MRP, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in South West Norfolk, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) MRPs both point to Conservative, which differs from the last election result.

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Reform UK22.4%34%
Conservative25.3%21%
Labour26.7%21%
Green4.1%11%
Liberal Democrats5.9%5%
Restore Britain0%5%
Others15.6%3%
Reform UK
34% (26–42%)
Conservative
21% (17–26%)
Labour
21% (14–26%)
Green
11% (6–17%)
Liberal Democrats
5% (3–9%)
Restore Britain
5% (2–9%)
Others
3% (1–6%)

Reform UK predicted to win

Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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