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South West Hertfordshire

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.

Who can beat Reform in South West Hertfordshire? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning South West Hertfordshire.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

16,458 votes (34.1%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Conservative
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Reform UK
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Conservative34.1%32%
Liberal Democrats24.9%23%
Reform UK14.1%20%
Labour20%13%
Green5.2%9%
Restore Britain0%2%
Others1.7%1%
Conservative
32% (27–37%)
Liberal Democrats
23% (15–31%)
Reform UK
20% (15–26%)
Labour
13% (9–18%)
Green
9% (5–14%)
Restore Britain
2% (1–4%)
Others
1% (0–3%)

Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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