South Northamptonshire
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in South Northamptonshire? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative narrowly ahead in South Northamptonshire, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,191 votes (35.7%)
Sarah BoolConservativeElected
19,191 votes · 35.7%
Rufia AshrafLabour
15,504 votes · 28.9%
Paul HoganReform UK
8,962 votes · 16.7%
Stewart TolleyLiberal Democrats
4,989 votes · 9.3%
Emmie WilliamsonGreen
3,040 votes · 5.7%
Ian McCordIndependent
1,556 votes · 2.9%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 35.7% | 35% |
| Reform UK | 16.7% | 24% |
| Labour | 28.9% | 18% |
| Green | 5.7% | 10% |
| Liberal Democrats | 9.3% | 9% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 3.8% | 2% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.