Sevenoaks
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Sevenoaks? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative narrowly ahead in Sevenoaks, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
18,328 votes (36.7%)
Laura TrottConservativeElected
18,328 votes · 36.7%
Richard StreatfeildLiberal Democrats
12,888 votes · 25.8%
James MilmineReform UK
9,341 votes · 18.7%
Denise Scott-McDonaldLabour
6,802 votes · 13.6%
Laura ManstonGreen
2,033 votes · 4.1%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 36.7% | 35% |
| Reform UK | 18.7% | 24% |
| Liberal Democrats | 25.8% | 20% |
| Labour | 13.6% | 11% |
| Green | 4.1% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.