Salisbury
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Salisbury? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Salisbury.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
17,110 votes (34.1%)
John GlenConservativeElected
17,110 votes · 34.1%
Matt AldridgeLabour
13,303 votes · 26.5%
Victoria CharlestonLiberal Democrats
11,825 votes · 23.6%
Julian MalinsReform UK
5,235 votes · 10.4%
Barney NorrisGreen
2,115 votes · 4.2%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 34.1% | 32% |
| Liberal Democrats | 23.6% | 22% |
| Labour | 26.5% | 17% |
| Reform UK | 10.4% | 17% |
| Green | 4.2% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.2% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.