Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

21,366 votes (45.4%)

MRP prediction

Conservative
Labour
Reform UK
Liberal Democrats
Green
Restore Britain
Others

Predicted vote share by party
Party	2024 general election	26 Sep 2026
Conservative	45.4%	43%
Labour	29.3%	19%
Reform UK	9.9%	15%
Liberal Democrats	9.2%	11%
Green	6.2%	8%
Restore Britain	0%	2%
Others	0%	1%

MRP date

Conservative

43% (38–49%)

Labour

19% (14–24%)

Reform UK

15% (11–22%)

Liberal Democrats

11% (6–20%)

Green

8% (4–14%)

Restore Britain

2% (1–4%)

Others

1% (0–2%)

Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.