Romsey and Southampton North
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Romsey and Southampton North? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Liberal Democrats winning Romsey and Southampton North.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,893 votes (39.8%)
Caroline NokesConservativeElected
19,893 votes · 39.8%
Geoff CooperLiberal Democrats
17,702 votes · 35.4%
Paul BarrettReform UK
5,716 votes · 11.4%
Christie LambertLabour
4,640 votes · 9.3%
Connor ShawGreen
1,893 votes · 3.8%
MRP prediction
- Liberal Democrats
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 35.4% | 36% |
| Conservative | 39.8% | 34% |
| Reform UK | 11.4% | 16% |
| Labour | 9.3% | 6% |
| Green | 3.8% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 0.4% | 1% |
Liberal Democrats predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Liberal Democrats
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.