Rochester and Strood
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Rochester and Strood? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Rochester and Strood, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
15,403 votes (36.2%)
Lauren EdwardsLabourElected
15,403 votes · 36.2%
Kelly TolhurstConservative
12,473 votes · 29.3%
Daniel DabinReform UK
9,966 votes · 23.4%
Cat JamiesonGreen
2,427 votes · 5.7%
Graham ColleyLiberal Democrats
1,894 votes · 4.5%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Conservative
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 23.4% | 31% |
| Labour | 36.2% | 25% |
| Conservative | 29.3% | 24% |
| Green | 5.7% | 10% |
| Liberal Democrats | 4.5% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 1.1% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.