Richmond and Northallerton
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Richmond and Northallerton? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Richmond and Northallerton.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
23,059 votes (47.5%)
Rishi SunakConservativeElected
23,059 votes · 47.5%
Tom WilsonLabour
10,874 votes · 22.4%
Lee TaylorReform UK
7,142 votes · 14.7%
Daniel CallaghanLiberal Democrats
4,322 votes · 8.9%
Kevin FosterGreen
2,058 votes · 4.2%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Liberal Democrats
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 47.5% | 46% |
| Reform UK | 14.7% | 20% |
| Labour | 22.4% | 15% |
| Liberal Democrats | 8.9% | 8% |
| Green | 4.2% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 2.3% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.