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Peterborough

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

High impact High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

The latest MRP poll for this seat has Reform less than 10 points behind the predicted winner - close enough that tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.

Who can beat Reform in Peterborough? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the latest YouGov MRP, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative narrowly ahead in Peterborough, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) MRPs both point to Conservative, which differs from the last election result.

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Conservative
  • Reform UK
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Conservative31.8%25%
Reform UK12.8%25%
Labour32%23%
Green6.1%15%
Restore Britain0%5%
Liberal Democrats4.2%4%
Others13.1%3%
Conservative
25% (20–30%)
Reform UK
25% (18–33%)
Labour
23% (16–30%)
Green
15% (9–24%)
Restore Britain
5% (2–8%)
Liberal Democrats
4% (2–8%)
Others
3% (1–7%)

Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

Source: Wikipedia — Peterborough · retrieved 21 September 2026
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