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Paisley and Renfrewshire North

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Paisley and Renfrewshire North? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has SNP narrowly ahead in Paisley and Renfrewshire North, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:

SNP 31.8% · Labour 26.5% · Reform UK 18.5% · Green 8.2% · Conservative 7.1% · Liberal Democrats 3.8% · Restore Britain 3.8% · Others 0.5%

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • SNP
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Green
  • Conservative
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
SNP31.9%37%
Labour47.1%20%
Reform UK7.8%19%
Green3.5%10%
Conservative6.4%7%
Liberal Democrats3.3%4%
Restore Britain0%2%
Others0%1%
SNP
37% (26–48%)
Labour
20% (14–27%)
Reform UK
19% (13–26%)
Green
10% (5–15%)
Conservative
7% (4–9%)
Liberal Democrats
4% (2–8%)
Restore Britain
2% (1–5%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

SNP predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: SNPWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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