Orkney and Shetland
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Orkney and Shetland? Liberal Democrats looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Liberal Democrats winning Orkney and Shetland.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
Liberal Democrats
11,392 votes (55.1%)
Alistair CarmichaelLiberal DemocratsElected
11,392 votes · 55.1%
Robert LeslieSNP
3,585 votes · 17.3%
Alex ArmitageGreen
2,046 votes · 9.9%
Robert SmithReform UK
1,586 votes · 7.7%
Conor SavageLabour
1,493 votes · 7.2%
Shane PainterConservative
586 votes · 2.8%
MRP prediction
- Liberal Democrats
- Reform UK
- SNP
- Green
- Conservative
- Labour
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 55.1% | 50% |
| Reform UK | 7.7% | 17% |
| SNP | 17.3% | 11% |
| Green | 9.9% | 10% |
| Conservative | 2.8% | 5% |
| Labour | 7.2% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 0% | 1% |
Liberal Democrats predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Liberal Democrats
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.
