North West Essex
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in North West Essex? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative narrowly ahead in North West Essex, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,360 votes (35.6%)
Kemi BadenochConservativeElected
19,360 votes · 35.6%
Issy WaiteLabour
16,750 votes · 30.8%
Grant StClair-ArmstrongReform UK
7,668 votes · 14.1%
Smita RajeshLiberal Democrats
6,055 votes · 11.1%
Edward GildeaGreen
2,846 votes · 5.2%
Andrew GreenIndependent
852 votes · 1.6%
Erik BoninoIndependent
699 votes · 1.3%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Liberal Democrats
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 35.6% | 34% |
| Reform UK | 14.1% | 23% |
| Labour | 30.8% | 20% |
| Liberal Democrats | 11.1% | 10% |
| Green | 5.2% | 9% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 3.2% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.