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North Somerset

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.

Who can beat Reform in North Somerset? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the latest YouGov MRP, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning North Somerset.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) MRPs both point to Conservative, which differs from the last election result.

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Conservative
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Green
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Conservative34.4%30%
Labour35.6%26%
Reform UK10.4%17%
Green6.1%12%
Liberal Democrats13.2%11%
Restore Britain0%3%
Others0.2%1%
Conservative
30% (25–35%)
Labour
26% (19–33%)
Reform UK
17% (11–23%)
Green
12% (8–18%)
Liberal Democrats
11% (6–18%)
Restore Britain
3% (1–6%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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