North Dorset
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in North Dorset? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative narrowly ahead in North Dorset, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
18,208 votes (36.6%)
Simon HoareConservativeElected
18,208 votes · 36.6%
Gary JacksonLiberal Democrats
16,619 votes · 33.5%
Ash LeaningReform UK
7,894 votes · 15.9%
James ColdwellLabour
4,370 votes · 8.8%
Ken HugginsGreen
2,082 votes · 4.2%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 36.6% | 33% |
| Liberal Democrats | 33.5% | 25% |
| Reform UK | 15.9% | 23% |
| Labour | 8.8% | 8% |
| Green | 4.2% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 0.9% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.