Newark
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Newark? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Newark.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
20,968 votes (39.2%)
Robert JenrickConservativeElected
20,968 votes · 39.2%
Saj AhmadLabour
17,396 votes · 32.5%
Robert PalmerReform UK
8,280 votes · 15.5%
David WattsLiberal Democrats
3,026 votes · 5.7%
Michael AckroydGreen
2,345 votes · 4.4%
Adrian AmerIndependent Network
809 votes · 1.5%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 39.2% | 37% |
| Reform UK | 15.5% | 24% |
| Labour | 32.5% | 22% |
| Green | 4.4% | 7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5.7% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 2.7% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.