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Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the latest YouGov MRP, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has SNP winning Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) MRPs both point to SNP, which differs from the last election result.

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • SNP
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Green
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
SNP31%38%
Labour49.1%22%
Reform UK7.7%18%
Conservative6.2%7%
Green3.1%7%
Liberal Democrats2.1%4%
Restore Britain0%3%
Others0.9%1%
SNP
38% (28–53%)
Labour
22% (15–29%)
Reform UK
18% (12–27%)
Conservative
7% (5–9%)
Green
7% (3–13%)
Liberal Democrats
4% (2–8%)
Restore Britain
3% (1–5%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

SNP predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: SNP

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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