Morecambe and Lunesdale
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Morecambe and Lunesdale? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Morecambe and Lunesdale, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,603 votes (40.8%)
Lizzi CollingeLabourElected
19,603 votes · 40.8%
David MorrisConservative
13,788 votes · 28.7%
Barry ParsonsReform UK
7,810 votes · 16.3%
Peter JacksonLiberal Democrats
4,769 votes · 9.9%
Gina DowdingGreen
2,089 votes · 4.3%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 40.8% | 32% |
| Conservative | 28.7% | 24% |
| Reform UK | 16.3% | 22% |
| Green | 4.3% | 9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 9.9% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 0% | 1% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.