Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr? Plaid Cymru looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:
Reform UK 25.2% · Plaid Cymru 19.6% · Labour 15.8% · Conservative 15.6% · Liberal Democrats 13.1% · Green 7.7% · Restore Britain 3.1% · Others 0.5%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Plaid Cymru
- Labour
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 20.6% | 29% |
| Plaid Cymru | 13.1% | 23% |
| Labour | 29.4% | 16% |
| Conservative | 18% | 13% |
| Liberal Democrats | 15% | 9% |
| Green | 4% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 0% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: Plaid CymruWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.