Mid and South Pembrokeshire
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Mid and South Pembrokeshire? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the latest YouGov MRP, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Mid and South Pembrokeshire, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) MRPs both point to Conservative, which differs from the last election result.
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Plaid Cymru
- Labour
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 16.8% | 28% |
| Conservative | 31.4% | 21% |
| Plaid Cymru | 6.4% | 19% |
| Labour | 35.4% | 18% |
| Green | 3.5% | 6% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5.1% | 4% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.4% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.