Makerfield
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat has Reform less than 10 points behind the predicted winner - close enough that tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Makerfield? Labour and Co-operative Party looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2026 Makerfield by-election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Makerfield, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
24,927 votes (54.8%)
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2026 Makerfield by-election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 54.8% | 37% |
| Reform UK | 34.5% | 32% |
| Conservative | 2.2% | 10% |
| Green | 0.7% | 9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 0.4% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 6.8% | 4% |
| Others | 0.6% | 2% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.