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Lincoln

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

High impact High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

The latest MRP poll for this seat has Reform less than 10 points behind the predicted winner - close enough that tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.

Who can beat Reform in Lincoln? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Lincoln, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

18,470 votes (43.8%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Green
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Labour43.8%29%
Reform UK18%23%
Conservative23%20%
Green6.5%15%
Liberal Democrats6.1%6%
Restore Britain0%6%
Others2.6%1%
Labour
29% (21–36%)
Reform UK
23% (16–29%)
Conservative
20% (16–23%)
Green
15% (10–23%)
Liberal Democrats
6% (3–11%)
Restore Britain
6% (3–12%)
Others
1% (0–3%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

Source: Wikipedia — Lincoln · retrieved 21 September 2026
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