Lancaster and Wyre
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Lancaster and Wyre? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Lancaster and Wyre, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,315 votes (44.9%)
Cat SmithLabourElected
19,315 votes · 44.9%
Peter CartridgeConservative
10,062 votes · 23.4%
Nigel AldersonReform UK
6,866 votes · 16%
Jack LenoxGreen
5,236 votes · 12.2%
Matt SevernLiberal Democrats
1,529 votes · 3.6%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 44.9% | 33% |
| Reform UK | 16% | 23% |
| Conservative | 23.4% | 19% |
| Green | 12.2% | 16% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.6% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 0% | 1% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.