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Kilmarnock and Loudoun

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Kilmarnock and Loudoun? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the latest YouGov MRP, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has SNP winning Kilmarnock and Loudoun.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) MRPs both point to SNP, which differs from the last election result.

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • SNP
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
SNP32.8%39%
Labour44.9%20%
Reform UK8.2%20%
Conservative8.3%7%
Green2.9%6%
Restore Britain0%4%
Liberal Democrats2%3%
Others0.9%1%
SNP
39% (31–48%)
Labour
20% (15–27%)
Reform UK
20% (14–27%)
Conservative
7% (5–10%)
Green
6% (3–10%)
Restore Britain
4% (1–7%)
Liberal Democrats
3% (1–7%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

SNP predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: SNP

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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