Kensington and Bayswater
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Kensington and Bayswater? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Kensington and Bayswater.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
17,025 votes (40.6%)
Joseph PowellLabourElected
17,025 votes · 40.6%
Felicity BuchanConservative
14,122 votes · 33.7%
William HoungboLiberal Democrats
2,910 votes · 6.9%
Mona AdamGreen
2,732 votes · 6.5%
Marc BurcaReform UK
2,514 votes · 6%
Emma Dent CoadIndependent
1,824 votes · 4.4%
John StevensRejoin EU
486 votes · 1.2%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Labour
- Green
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 33.7% | 33% |
| Labour | 40.6% | 32% |
| Green | 6.5% | 12% |
| Reform UK | 6% | 10% |
| Liberal Democrats | 6.9% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 6.4% | 2% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 4th
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.