Isle of Wight West
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Isle of Wight West? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Isle of Wight West, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
13,240 votes (38.6%)
Richard QuigleyLabourElected
13,240 votes · 38.6%
Bob SeelyConservative
10,063 votes · 29.3%
Ian PickeringReform UK
5,834 votes · 17%
Nick StuartLiberal Democrats
2,726 votes · 7.9%
Cameron PalinGreen
2,310 votes · 6.7%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Conservative
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 17% | 28% |
| Labour | 38.6% | 27% |
| Conservative | 29.3% | 22% |
| Green | 6.7% | 11% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7.9% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 0.3% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.