Isle of Wight East
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Isle of Wight East? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Isle of Wight East, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
10,427 votes (30.6%)
Joe RobertsonConservativeElected
10,427 votes · 30.6%
Sarah MorrisReform UK
7,104 votes · 20.8%
Vix LowthionGreen
6,313 votes · 18.5%
Emily BrothersLabour
6,264 votes · 18.4%
Michael LilleyLiberal Democrats
3,550 votes · 10.4%
David GroocockIndependent
420 votes · 1.2%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Green
- Labour
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 20.8% | 29% |
| Conservative | 30.6% | 26% |
| Green | 18.5% | 18% |
| Labour | 18.4% | 15% |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.4% | 9% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.2% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.