Holborn and St Pancras
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Holborn and St Pancras? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Holborn and St Pancras.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
12,292 votes (45.2%)
Sagal Abdi-WaliLabourElected
12,292 votes · 45.2%
Zack PolanskiGreen
8,928 votes · 32.8%
Ewan CameronConservative
1,922 votes · 7.1%
Peter NewmanReform UK
1,612 votes · 5.9%
Patrick StillmanLiberal Democrats
924 votes · 3.4%
Tyler JohnsonRestore Britain
692 votes · 2.5%
George GallowayWorkers Party of Britain
314 votes · 1.1%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Green
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Others
- Restore Britain
| Party | 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 45.2% | 44% |
| Green | 32.8% | 20% |
| Conservative | 7.1% | 11% |
| Reform UK | 5.9% | 10% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.4% | 6% |
| Others | 3% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 2.5% | 2% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 4th
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.