Henley and Thame
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Henley and Thame? Liberal Democrats looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Liberal Democrats winning Henley and Thame.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
Liberal Democrats
23,904 votes (45%)
Freddie van MierloLiberal DemocratsElected
23,904 votes · 45%
Caroline NewtonConservative
17,637 votes · 33.2%
Peter ShieldsReform UK
5,213 votes · 9.8%
Nanda Manley-BrowneLabour
3,574 votes · 6.7%
Jo RobbGreen
2,008 votes · 3.8%
Maryse PomlettSocial Democratic Party (UK, 1990-present)
515 votes · 1%
MRP prediction
- Liberal Democrats
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 45% | 43% |
| Conservative | 33.2% | 27% |
| Reform UK | 9.8% | 15% |
| Labour | 6.7% | 7% |
| Green | 3.8% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 1.6% | 1% |
Liberal Democrats predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Liberal Democrats
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.