Hayes and Harlington
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Hayes and Harlington? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Hayes and Harlington.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
20,405 votes (53.3%)
John McDonnellLabourElected
20,405 votes · 53.3%
Dylan ThomasConservative
8,374 votes · 21.9%
Francoise ThompsonReform UK
4,114 votes · 10.7%
Christine WestGreen
2,131 votes · 5.6%
Rizwana KarimWorkers Party of Britain
1,975 votes · 5.2%
Alex CunliffeLiberal Democrats
1,316 votes · 3.4%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 53.3% | 40% |
| Reform UK | 10.7% | 21% |
| Conservative | 21.9% | 17% |
| Green | 5.6% | 11% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.4% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 5.2% | 2% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.