Hamble Valley
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Hamble Valley? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative winning Hamble Valley.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,671 votes (36.4%)
Paul HolmesConservativeElected
19,671 votes · 36.4%
Prad BainsLiberal Democrats
14,869 votes · 27.5%
Devina PaulLabour
8,753 votes · 16.2%
Caroline GladwinReform UK
8,216 votes · 15.2%
Kate NeedhamGreen
2,310 votes · 4.3%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 36.4% | 34% |
| Liberal Democrats | 27.5% | 23% |
| Reform UK | 15.2% | 20% |
| Labour | 16.2% | 11% |
| Green | 4.3% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 0.3% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.