Gorton and Denton
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform came second last time - tactical voting may be necessary to keep Reform out next time.
Who can beat Reform in Gorton and Denton? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Gorton and Denton.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:
Labour 34.1% · Green 25.8% · Reform UK 23.1% · Conservative 7.1% · Liberal Democrats 3.8% · Restore Britain 3.3% · Others 2.9%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Green
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 25.4% | 38% |
| Reform UK | 28.7% | 21% |
| Green | 40.7% | 21% |
| Conservative | 1.9% | 9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1.8% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.4% | 3% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.