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Gordon and Buchan

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

High impact High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

The latest MRP poll for this seat has Reform less than 10 points behind the predicted winner - close enough that tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.

Who can beat Reform in Gordon and Buchan? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has SNP narrowly ahead in Gordon and Buchan, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:

SNP 28.2% · Conservative 27.9% · Reform UK 19.9% · Liberal Democrats 13.0% · Labour 4.5% · Restore Britain 4.1% · Green 2.0% · Others 0.5%

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • SNP
  • Conservative
  • Reform UK
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
SNP30.9%33%
Conservative32.9%25%
Reform UK8.9%22%
Liberal Democrats16.7%10%
Labour10.7%4%
Green0%3%
Restore Britain0%2%
Others0%1%
SNP
33% (24–45%)
Conservative
25% (19–30%)
Reform UK
22% (15–30%)
Liberal Democrats
10% (5–17%)
Labour
4% (2–8%)
Green
3% (1–7%)
Restore Britain
2% (1–4%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

SNP predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: SNPWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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