Erith and Thamesmead
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform either won with over 50% of the vote or came second and the winner (a non-Reform party) got over 50% of the vote outright - a landslide so this seat isn't really in play for a tactical vote to make a difference.
Who can beat Reform in Erith and Thamesmead? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Erith and Thamesmead.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
22,246 votes (55.1%)
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Green
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 55.1% | 41% |
| Reform UK | 14.7% | 18% |
| Green | 8.6% | 15% |
| Conservative | 13.8% | 14% |
| Liberal Democrats | 4.6% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 3.2% | 2% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.