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Ellesmere Port and Bromborough

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform either won with over 50% of the vote or came second and the winner (a non-Reform party) got over 50% of the vote outright - a landslide so this seat isn't really in play for a tactical vote to make a difference.

Who can beat Reform in Ellesmere Port and Bromborough? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Ellesmere Port and Bromborough.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

24,186 votes (57.6%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Labour
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Labour57.6%44%
Reform UK17.3%21%
Conservative12.4%11%
Green6.4%10%
Restore Britain0%7%
Liberal Democrats5.5%6%
Others0.6%1%
Labour
44% (35–51%)
Reform UK
21% (14–27%)
Conservative
11% (8–13%)
Green
10% (6–17%)
Restore Britain
7% (4–12%)
Liberal Democrats
6% (2–11%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: Labour

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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