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Edinburgh South West

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Edinburgh South West? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Edinburgh South West, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:

SNP 26.9% · Labour 21.7% · Green 15.6% · Conservative 12.4% · Reform UK 10.6% · Liberal Democrats 10.2% · Restore Britain 2.2% · Others 0.5%

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Labour
  • SNP
  • Green
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Labour40.9%23%
SNP27.3%23%
Green7.6%17%
Reform UK4.6%13%
Conservative12.2%12%
Liberal Democrats6.6%9%
Restore Britain0%2%
Others1%1%
Labour
23% (16–30%)
SNP
23% (15–31%)
Green
17% (11–26%)
Reform UK
13% (9–19%)
Conservative
12% (10–15%)
Liberal Democrats
9% (5–16%)
Restore Britain
2% (1–3%)
Others
1% (0–3%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 4th

Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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