Edinburgh South
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Edinburgh South? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Edinburgh South.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
24,976 votes (53.3%)
Ian MurrayLabourElected
24,976 votes · 53.3%
Simita KumarSNP
7,725 votes · 16.5%
Jo PhillipsGreen
4,270 votes · 9.1%
Christopher CowdyConservative
4,001 votes · 8.5%
Andy WilliamsonLiberal Democrats
2,746 votes · 5.9%
Cameron RoseReform UK
1,845 votes · 3.9%
Alex MartinIndependent
466 votes · 1%
Lynne LyonAlba Party
454 votes · 1%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Green
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- SNP
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 53.3% | 37% |
| Green | 9.1% | 21% |
| Reform UK | 3.9% | 12% |
| Conservative | 8.5% | 10% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5.9% | 8% |
| SNP | 16.5% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 2.8% | 1% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.