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Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Edinburgh East and Musselburgh? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has SNP winning Edinburgh East and Musselburgh.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:

SNP 32.2% · Labour 28.9% · Green 16.7% · Reform UK 8.6% · Conservative 6.2% · Liberal Democrats 5.3% · Restore Britain 1.8% · Others 0.5%

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • SNP
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
SNP33.1%32%
Labour41.2%21%
Green10.2%19%
Reform UK4.7%13%
Conservative5.7%7%
Liberal Democrats4.3%5%
Restore Britain0%2%
Others0.8%1%
SNP
32% (22–41%)
Labour
21% (15–28%)
Green
19% (13–26%)
Reform UK
13% (9–19%)
Conservative
7% (5–9%)
Liberal Democrats
5% (3–11%)
Restore Britain
2% (1–4%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

SNP predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 4th

Best placed to beat Reform: SNP

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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