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Eastleigh

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.

Who can beat Reform in Eastleigh? Liberal Democrats looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Liberal Democrats narrowly ahead in Eastleigh, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

Liberal Democrats

15,970 votes (34.4%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Conservative
  • Reform UK
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Liberal Democrats34.4%34%
Conservative31.1%25%
Reform UK13.3%19%
Labour15.1%11%
Green5.2%7%
Restore Britain0%3%
Others1%1%
Liberal Democrats
34% (26–42%)
Conservative
25% (21–30%)
Reform UK
19% (13–26%)
Labour
11% (7–16%)
Green
7% (3–10%)
Restore Britain
3% (1–5%)
Others
1% (0–3%)

Liberal Democrats predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Liberal DemocratsWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

Source: Wikipedia — Eastleigh · retrieved 21 September 2026
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