East Surrey
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in East Surrey? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Conservative narrowly ahead in East Surrey, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
17,502 votes (35.6%)
Claire CoutinhoConservativeElected
17,502 votes · 35.6%
Tom BowellLabour
10,052 votes · 20.4%
Claire MalcomsonLiberal Democrats
8,833 votes · 18%
Chris ScottReform UK
8,380 votes · 17%
Shasha KhanGreen
2,957 votes · 6%
Judy MooreIndependent
1,145 votes · 2.3%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 35.6% | 34% |
| Reform UK | 17% | 23% |
| Liberal Democrats | 18% | 16% |
| Labour | 20.4% | 13% |
| Green | 6% | 10% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 3% | 1% |
Conservative predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.