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Ealing Southall

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Low impact Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.

Who can beat Reform in Ealing Southall? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Ealing Southall.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

23,000 votes (49.1%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Conservative
  • Reform UK
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Others
  • Restore Britain
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Labour49.1%38%
Green9.3%19%
Conservative15.4%16%
Reform UK5.5%13%
Liberal Democrats6%8%
Others14.7%4%
Restore Britain0%2%
Labour
38% (28–46%)
Green
19% (11–29%)
Conservative
16% (13–19%)
Reform UK
13% (9–18%)
Liberal Democrats
8% (4–16%)
Others
4% (1–7%)
Restore Britain
2% (1–5%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 4th

Best placed to beat Reform: Labour

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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