Dorking and Horley
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Dorking and Horley? Liberal Democrats looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Liberal Democrats winning Dorking and Horley.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
Liberal Democrats
20,921 votes (41.9%)
Chris CoghlanLiberal DemocratsElected
20,921 votes · 41.9%
Marisa HeathConservative
15,530 votes · 31.1%
Craig YoungReform UK
6,898 votes · 13.8%
Nadia BurrellLabour
4,053 votes · 8.1%
Lisa ScottGreen
2,563 votes · 5.1%
MRP prediction
- Liberal Democrats
- Conservative
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 41.9% | 38% |
| Conservative | 31.1% | 25% |
| Reform UK | 13.8% | 21% |
| Labour | 8.1% | 8% |
| Green | 5.1% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 0% | 1% |
Liberal Democrats predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Liberal Democrats
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.