Derby South
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat has Reform less than 10 points behind the predicted winner - close enough that tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Derby South? Labour and Co-operative Party looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Derby South, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
14,503 votes (38.8%)
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Others
- Liberal Democrats
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 38.8% | 30% |
| Reform UK | 22.7% | 28% |
| Conservative | 13.9% | 14% |
| Green | 5.1% | 13% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 5% |
| Others | 14.7% | 5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 4.8% | 4% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.