Clwyd East
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Clwyd East? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Clwyd East, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
18,484 votes (38.7%)
Becky GittinsLabourElected
18,484 votes · 38.7%
James DaviesConservative
13,862 votes · 29%
Kirsty WalmsleyReform UK
7,626 votes · 15.9%
Paul PenlingtonPlaid Cymru
3,733 votes · 7.8%
Alec DaunceyLiberal Democrats
1,859 votes · 3.9%
Lee LaveryGreen
1,659 votes · 3.5%
Rob RobertsIndependent
599 votes · 1.3%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Labour
- Plaid Cymru
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 15.9% | 27% |
| Conservative | 29% | 21% |
| Labour | 38.7% | 20% |
| Plaid Cymru | 7.8% | 18% |
| Green | 3.5% | 7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.9% | 4% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.3% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.